Socialism has failed. Now capitalism is bankrupt. So what comes next? That’s the provocative question being asked by Eric Hobsbawm in The Guardian:
The basic idea that dominated economics and politics in the last century has patently disappeared down the plughole of history. This was the way of thinking about modern industrial economies, or for that matter any economies, in terms of two mutually exclusive opposites: capitalism or socialism.
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Both are bankrupt. The future, like the present and the past, belongs to mixed economies in which public and private are braided together in one way or another. But how?
This isn’t the first time in history that whole economic systems have been tossed out. Feudalism anyone? But for generations, we’ve been told that capitalism was all set to dominate the future. Having conquered communism, it was unfettered profit for anyone who was ready to grasp it by the horns.
It doesn’t look quite so bulletproof now, though. Now, I don’t know if capitalism is really going the way of the dodo, but I expect some market reforms in the near future.
The most interesting part of Hobsbawm’s essay, though, were almost throwaway points like this:
Nobody seriously thinks of returning to the socialist systems of the Soviet type – not only because of their political faults, but also because of the increasing sluggishness and inefficiency of their economies – though this should not lead us to underestimate their impressive social and educational achievements.
“Impressive social and educational achievements.” Indeed! I mean, Cuba is famed for its cigars, but I’ll bet its most important exports are its educated doctors (that it trades for oil with Venezuela, for example).
So why are government so focused on economic growth, to the exclusion of all else? Because I think they’ve bought into the capitalist assumption that “a rising tide floats all boats” — so that the GDP and the stock market was believed to be a shorthand measurement of how healthy society was.
As Hobsbawm (and others) have argued, though, rising wealth in society hasn’t been shared equally. With a growing income gap between rich and poor, the average wealth may go up, but the bulk of people don’t get any richer.
More on this as I think about it, but I wanted to point out Hobsbawm’s column for more people to read. My initial thoughts are that: a) governments should use something like the “Happiness Index” and not just economic indicators to set policy; and b) free “trade” should mean opening borders to people — ie. to labour — and not just to goods.
Comments?
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Determinator
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Determinator
